Posts Tagged NCAA Tournament

One Shining Moment

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Kansas Wins National Championship

#1 Kansas Jayhawks 75, #1 Memphis Tigers 68 (Final, Overtime)

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Told You So: Kansas and Memphis To Play For National Championship

Exciting times here at Merrill Park Superstar headquarters, as with wins by the Memphis Tigers and Kansas Jayhawks in Saturday’s National Semifinals, the wacky formula that we’ve been working on throughout much of the 2007-08 college basketball season is actually starting to look like a pretty useful tool for predicting the likely outcomes of college games.

The wacky formula, which as press of time lacks a more clever name or even a more descriptive name, has correctly projected the Final Four (not a big stunner) and the teams that are to compete in the National Championship game on Monday. It also had Davidson reaching the Elite Eight. The big issue I found with that bracket, which you can view here, is that the formula called for a lot of first round upsets that didn’t pan out.

I actually kind of saw that coming before the tournament began, though, and decided that I needed to modify the formula a bit. As mentioned in this post, I noticed last year that the Pythagorean theorem of basketball was fairly reliable in predicting the tournament. Whereas the wacky formula figured North Carolina and Kansas would end up in the finals, Pythagoras did a little bit better, forecasting a Florida-Texas A&M showdown. The Gators, of course, went on to win their second straight NCAA Championship a year ago.

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Who Is This Year’s George Mason?

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March Madness: What A Duketastrophe!

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March Madness: UConn In Trouble vs. San Diego Live Blog

The afternoon games haven’t been quite as riveting as the morning session. We’ve seen three blowouts — Georgetown, Texas and Butler rolled over UMBC, Austin Peay and South Alabama, respectively — and one competitive game: #13 San Diego giving #4 Connecticut all it can handle.

We’re picking it up with just under four minutes left. The 13th-seeded Toreros are clinging to a 52-51 lead, and Connecticut will have the ball after a television timeout.

5:33 ET: Out of the timeout, Doug Wiggins connects on a three to give UConn its first lead of the half.

San Diego responds at the other end, as Gyno Pomare picks up two more points, giving him 20 for the game, to knot the game up at 54.

5:36 ET: San Diego reclaims the lead on what I’ll describe as a windmill layup by Rob Jones.

After a Connecticut turnover at the other end, Jones picks up two more with a runner. With 50.3 seconds left to play, the Toreros have extended their lead to four points, 58-54.

5:39 ET: Hasheem Thabeet gets an easy layup out of the timeout, and it didn’t take much time. There are still 37.6 seconds left on the clock, and now Connecticut only trails by two.

However, the Huskies are well under the foul limit, which works against them at this stage of the game.

5:42 ET: After UConn finally gave up enough fouls to get San Diego to the line — they spent almost 10 seconds doing so — Devin Ginty goes to the line for the Toreros and sinks one of two in the one-and-one situation.

Connecticut quickly gets the ball down the court and slashes the lead back to a single point with a quick Jeff Adrien layup. Just over 20 ticks left on the clock, timeout UConn.

5:47 ET: Connecticut gets called on a blocking foul while trying to pick up a charge on an inbounds play. Ginty goes back to the line for San Diego.

One of two again.

5:48 ET: Jerome Dyson gets fouled as he drives to the basket for the Huskies. He can tie the game from the line if he makes both shots. As it stands now, it’s 60-58 with 10.4 seconds left.

He ties it up.

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March Madness: Friday Early Games’ Late Minutes Live Blog


2:05 ET: CBS has me watching the Davidson-Gonzaga game, which is knotted up at 64. Meanwhile, #15 American continues to hang with #2 Tennessee, trailing by only 3.

Well, now it’s 6. Perhaps CBS is on to something. Still, there’s 3:46 remaining in that one, so it’s not quite over yet.

Elsewhere, Miami appears to have its game in hand, as it’s up 52-38 on #10 St. Mary’s, while the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a 15-point lead over Drake with 10:41 to play.

2:07 ET: Davidson has taken its first lead of the game, up 68-67 with under eight minutes to play.

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